Why Gen Z men could hurt Trump in the 2026 midterms
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A new nationwide survey from Third Way and HIT Strategies highlights the uncertainty surrounding young male voters heading into the midterms.
Among young men who say they are likely to vote in the 2026 midterms, Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot by a wide 61–31 percent margin.
At the same time, the survey points to a turnout risk for Republicans.
Young men who identify as Republican or independent report being significantly more likely to skip the 2026 midterms and instead wait to vote in the 2028 presidential election, a pattern that could blunt GOP gains even where persuasion remains competitive.
Separate national polling indicated Trump’s job approval has fallen sharply among Gen Z adults, underscoring risks for Republicans if young male disapproval translates into midterm votes.
The University of Chicago’s GenForward survey, reported by NPR, found nearly 60 percent of young Americans disapproved of Trump’s job performance and that Democrats held a 15-point lead on a generic congressional ballot among young voters, though many indicated interest in third parties.
The latest Economist/YouGov survey, conducted from February 6 to 9 among 1,730 U.S. adult citizens, found Trump’s approval rating at 25 percent among voters ages 18 to 29, with 67 percent disapproving.
Why are Gen Z voters, especially Gen Z men, losing interest in the Republican Party? Is this just a matter of low turnout for midterms, or is it a more substantial disagreement with the GOP? Are these voters truly flocking to the Democratic Party, or are they swinging back and forth?
Why resist verification?
Archive:
A new nationwide survey from Third Way and HIT Strategies highlights the uncertainty surrounding young male voters heading into the midterms.
Among young men who say they are likely to vote in the 2026 midterms, Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot by a wide 61–31 percent margin.
At the same time, the survey points to a turnout risk for Republicans.
Young men who identify as Republican or independent report being significantly more likely to skip the 2026 midterms and instead wait to vote in the 2028 presidential election, a pattern that could blunt GOP gains even where persuasion remains competitive.
Separate national polling indicated Trump’s job approval has fallen sharply among Gen Z adults, underscoring risks for Republicans if young male disapproval translates into midterm votes.
The University of Chicago’s GenForward survey, reported by NPR, found nearly 60 percent of young Americans disapproved of Trump’s job performance and that Democrats held a 15-point lead on a generic congressional ballot among young voters, though many indicated interest in third parties.
The latest Economist/YouGov survey, conducted from February 6 to 9 among 1,730 U.S. adult citizens, found Trump’s approval rating at 25 percent among voters ages 18 to 29, with 67 percent disapproving.
Why are Gen Z voters, especially Gen Z men, losing interest in the Republican Party? Is this just a matter of low turnout for midterms, or is it a more substantial disagreement with the GOP? Are these voters truly flocking to the Democratic Party, or are they swinging back and forth?
Why Gen Z men could hurt Trump in the 2026 midterms
Why resist verification?
Archive:
A new nationwide survey from Third Way and HIT Strategies highlights the uncertainty surrounding young male voters heading into the midterms.
Among young men who say they are likely to vote in the 2026 midterms, Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot by a wide 61–31 percent margin.
At the same time, the survey points to a turnout risk for Republicans.
Young men who identify as Republican or independent report being significantly more likely to skip the 2026 midterms and instead wait to vote in the 2028 presidential election, a pattern that could blunt GOP gains even where persuasion remains competitive.
Separate national polling indicated Trump’s job approval has fallen sharply among Gen Z adults, underscoring risks for Republicans if young male disapproval translates into midterm votes.
The University of Chicago’s GenForward survey, reported by NPR, found nearly 60 percent of young Americans disapproved of Trump’s job performance and that Democrats held a 15-point lead on a generic congressional ballot among young voters, though many indicated interest in third parties.
The latest Economist/YouGov survey, conducted from February 6 to 9 among 1,730 U.S. adult citizens, found Trump’s approval rating at 25 percent among voters ages 18 to 29, with 67 percent disapproving.
Why are Gen Z voters, especially Gen Z men, losing interest in the Republican Party? Is this just a matter of low turnout for midterms, or is it a more substantial disagreement with the GOP? Are these voters truly flocking to the Democratic Party, or are they swinging back and forth?
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