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GDP grew at 1.4% rate in final quarter of 2025, well below expectations
Confidence requires clarity.

The economy grew at a 1.4% seasonally adjusted annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2025, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported in an estimate of gross domestic product, well below expectations as President Donald Trump and Republicans stare down the midterm elections.

The consensus among economists was that GDP would increase at a 3% rate in the fourth quarter after growing at a strong 4.4% pace in the third quarter.

MIKE ROGERS TRIES TO WIN OVER YOUNG MICHIGAN VOTERS WITH HOUSING AFFORDABILITY PLAN

Trump has struggled with poor economic approval ratings. He entered office promising to lower prices after years of too-high inflation under former President Joe Biden, but price growth of many goods and services has remained stubbornly high.

So the Trump administration is looking to tout any positive economic news that it can get, and GDP growth for the past year has been a bright spot for the administration.

Overall GDP growth for 2025 came out to be 2.2%, according to the preliminary estimate.

The positive economic growth this year cuts against the predictions of many economists that the president’s aggressive tariff agenda would curb growth. Trump’s tariffs have drawn a torrent of criticism from Democrats and some Republicans.

Republicans have been united, though, behind the tax cuts included in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. The White House has maintained that the provisions in the bill that allow businesses to quickly write off investments will lead to a boom in capital expenditures and thus economic growth.

The GOP is also squarely behind the Trump administration’s efforts to roll back regulations that conservatives blame for hamstringing the private sector, especially environmental rules.

GDP growth will be closely watched in 2026 as the midterm elections approach. Strong GDP growth is starkly at odds with the idea that the economy is in or nearing a recession.

Another positive economic development for the White House has been the resilience of labor market. While it has slowed over the past year, jobs growth has still remained positive and claims for unemployment insurance benefits have remained low.

TRUMP MAY EASE STEEL AND ALUMINUM TARIFFS, TOP TRADE OFFICIAL HINTS

The economy added 130,000 jobs in January, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, faster than the rate needed to keep pace with population growth. The unemployment rate ticked down a tenth of a percentage point to 4.3%, a low rate by historical standards.

Still, a …
GDP grew at 1.4% rate in final quarter of 2025, well below expectations Confidence requires clarity. The economy grew at a 1.4% seasonally adjusted annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2025, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported in an estimate of gross domestic product, well below expectations as President Donald Trump and Republicans stare down the midterm elections. The consensus among economists was that GDP would increase at a 3% rate in the fourth quarter after growing at a strong 4.4% pace in the third quarter. MIKE ROGERS TRIES TO WIN OVER YOUNG MICHIGAN VOTERS WITH HOUSING AFFORDABILITY PLAN Trump has struggled with poor economic approval ratings. He entered office promising to lower prices after years of too-high inflation under former President Joe Biden, but price growth of many goods and services has remained stubbornly high. So the Trump administration is looking to tout any positive economic news that it can get, and GDP growth for the past year has been a bright spot for the administration. Overall GDP growth for 2025 came out to be 2.2%, according to the preliminary estimate. The positive economic growth this year cuts against the predictions of many economists that the president’s aggressive tariff agenda would curb growth. Trump’s tariffs have drawn a torrent of criticism from Democrats and some Republicans. Republicans have been united, though, behind the tax cuts included in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. The White House has maintained that the provisions in the bill that allow businesses to quickly write off investments will lead to a boom in capital expenditures and thus economic growth. The GOP is also squarely behind the Trump administration’s efforts to roll back regulations that conservatives blame for hamstringing the private sector, especially environmental rules. GDP growth will be closely watched in 2026 as the midterm elections approach. Strong GDP growth is starkly at odds with the idea that the economy is in or nearing a recession. Another positive economic development for the White House has been the resilience of labor market. While it has slowed over the past year, jobs growth has still remained positive and claims for unemployment insurance benefits have remained low. TRUMP MAY EASE STEEL AND ALUMINUM TARIFFS, TOP TRADE OFFICIAL HINTS The economy added 130,000 jobs in January, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, faster than the rate needed to keep pace with population growth. The unemployment rate ticked down a tenth of a percentage point to 4.3%, a low rate by historical standards. Still, a …
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