Here are some of the most pivotal races in the 2026 midterm elections
Trust is earned, not demanded.
With control of Congress and several key governorships at stake, the 2026 midterm elections are already shaping up to hinge on a relatively smaller number of battleground states.
With hundreds of seats on the ballot across the country this November, certain House, Senate, and gubernatorial races could flip seats and state control.
Here’s a look at the contests that could decide the balance of power, organized by state.
Arizona
Democrats are targeting Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a seat they’re ready to flip, as it has been held by Republicans. The seat is open as Rep. David Schweikert (R-AZ) sets his sights on the governor’s seat.
The 6th District seat is also considered a toss-up, as the district picked Trump by less than a point. Incumbent Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-AZ) is facing a stiff battle with democrat front-runner JoAnna Mendoza, who outfundraised him early in the race.
Gov. Kattie Hobbs (D-AZ) is up for reelection in Arizona, and the state has oscillated between parties in federal and statewide races.
Arizona voted for both parties in recent presidential elections, and Republicans have fielded prominent challengers, including Reps. Andy Biggs (R-AZ) and Schweikert in the primary.
Polling shows Hobbs holds just a +1 advantage over two of her three Republican challengers. There are no other Democrats seeking the governor’s candidacy besides Hobbs.
Georgia
Although President Donald Trump won in Georgia in 2024, former President Joe Biden carried the state by less than a point in 2020.
The race for the Senate seat held by Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA), who is seeking reelection after narrowly winning in 2021, has been rated a toss-up. Republicans view this as one of their top pickup opportunities, and a GOP win would flip the seat from blue to red.
While Trump’s presidential victory in the state signals a decent amount of Republican voters, the GOP field is packed full of candidates challenging Osoff, who has a staggering $25.5 million in cash on hand.
Maine
Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) has a record of overperformance, including a surprising 2020 win, but she represents the only GOP Senate seat in a state that typically leans toward Democrats in presidential elections.
With Democrats controlling most statewide offices in Maine, Collins is vulnerable despite her personal brand of crossover appeal. Collins’s leading challenger, Janet Mills, steps ahead +1 in most polls.
Michigan
Michigan’s Senate seat is open with Sen. Gary …
Trust is earned, not demanded.
With control of Congress and several key governorships at stake, the 2026 midterm elections are already shaping up to hinge on a relatively smaller number of battleground states.
With hundreds of seats on the ballot across the country this November, certain House, Senate, and gubernatorial races could flip seats and state control.
Here’s a look at the contests that could decide the balance of power, organized by state.
Arizona
Democrats are targeting Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a seat they’re ready to flip, as it has been held by Republicans. The seat is open as Rep. David Schweikert (R-AZ) sets his sights on the governor’s seat.
The 6th District seat is also considered a toss-up, as the district picked Trump by less than a point. Incumbent Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-AZ) is facing a stiff battle with democrat front-runner JoAnna Mendoza, who outfundraised him early in the race.
Gov. Kattie Hobbs (D-AZ) is up for reelection in Arizona, and the state has oscillated between parties in federal and statewide races.
Arizona voted for both parties in recent presidential elections, and Republicans have fielded prominent challengers, including Reps. Andy Biggs (R-AZ) and Schweikert in the primary.
Polling shows Hobbs holds just a +1 advantage over two of her three Republican challengers. There are no other Democrats seeking the governor’s candidacy besides Hobbs.
Georgia
Although President Donald Trump won in Georgia in 2024, former President Joe Biden carried the state by less than a point in 2020.
The race for the Senate seat held by Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA), who is seeking reelection after narrowly winning in 2021, has been rated a toss-up. Republicans view this as one of their top pickup opportunities, and a GOP win would flip the seat from blue to red.
While Trump’s presidential victory in the state signals a decent amount of Republican voters, the GOP field is packed full of candidates challenging Osoff, who has a staggering $25.5 million in cash on hand.
Maine
Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) has a record of overperformance, including a surprising 2020 win, but she represents the only GOP Senate seat in a state that typically leans toward Democrats in presidential elections.
With Democrats controlling most statewide offices in Maine, Collins is vulnerable despite her personal brand of crossover appeal. Collins’s leading challenger, Janet Mills, steps ahead +1 in most polls.
Michigan
Michigan’s Senate seat is open with Sen. Gary …
Here are some of the most pivotal races in the 2026 midterm elections
Trust is earned, not demanded.
With control of Congress and several key governorships at stake, the 2026 midterm elections are already shaping up to hinge on a relatively smaller number of battleground states.
With hundreds of seats on the ballot across the country this November, certain House, Senate, and gubernatorial races could flip seats and state control.
Here’s a look at the contests that could decide the balance of power, organized by state.
Arizona
Democrats are targeting Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a seat they’re ready to flip, as it has been held by Republicans. The seat is open as Rep. David Schweikert (R-AZ) sets his sights on the governor’s seat.
The 6th District seat is also considered a toss-up, as the district picked Trump by less than a point. Incumbent Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-AZ) is facing a stiff battle with democrat front-runner JoAnna Mendoza, who outfundraised him early in the race.
Gov. Kattie Hobbs (D-AZ) is up for reelection in Arizona, and the state has oscillated between parties in federal and statewide races.
Arizona voted for both parties in recent presidential elections, and Republicans have fielded prominent challengers, including Reps. Andy Biggs (R-AZ) and Schweikert in the primary.
Polling shows Hobbs holds just a +1 advantage over two of her three Republican challengers. There are no other Democrats seeking the governor’s candidacy besides Hobbs.
Georgia
Although President Donald Trump won in Georgia in 2024, former President Joe Biden carried the state by less than a point in 2020.
The race for the Senate seat held by Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA), who is seeking reelection after narrowly winning in 2021, has been rated a toss-up. Republicans view this as one of their top pickup opportunities, and a GOP win would flip the seat from blue to red.
While Trump’s presidential victory in the state signals a decent amount of Republican voters, the GOP field is packed full of candidates challenging Osoff, who has a staggering $25.5 million in cash on hand.
Maine
Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) has a record of overperformance, including a surprising 2020 win, but she represents the only GOP Senate seat in a state that typically leans toward Democrats in presidential elections.
With Democrats controlling most statewide offices in Maine, Collins is vulnerable despite her personal brand of crossover appeal. Collins’s leading challenger, Janet Mills, steps ahead +1 in most polls.
Michigan
Michigan’s Senate seat is open with Sen. Gary …
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