The numbers that Republicans say show Democratic midterm targets are a ‘political hallucination’
Confidence requires clarity.
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of Washington Secrets. Today we have a dive into the fundraising numbers that show that Democrats’ target list of midterm districts is aspirational, to put it politely, or a “political hallucination,” if you are less polite, plus how Donald Trump is uniting British politicians…
Democrats keep expanding their battleground map of midterm target seats but do they really have any chance in some of the districts they claim they can win?
Of the 44 districts listed by the Democratic Congressional Campaign (DCCC) as targets, at least 11 of those seats look unwinnable, with Republican incumbents far outraising their challengers in seats won comfortably last time around, according to a Secrets analysis of fundraising.
Democrats insist the country is ready for change and they have the calibre of candidates needed.
“Democrats are on offense, and our map reflects the fact that everyday Americans are tired of Republicans’ broken promises and ready for change in Congress,” said Suzan DelBene, chair of the DCCC last month as the campaign group added five seats to the list.
To assess election prospects, Secrets examined the 44 districts listed by the DCCC as targets.
They include some where Democrats would have to overturn 15-point deficits, and where Republican candidates are outraising challengers 10-fold in some cases. It suggests they are far from close to putting together campaigns that can win.
Republicans ridiculed the target map.
“House Democrats are trying to invade ruby red Republican territory with embarrassing recruitment failures, empty bank accounts, and political hallucination,” said Mike Marinella, spokesman for the National Republican Congressional Committee.
“They can continue fantasizing about ‘expanding’ the map all they want, but they’re operating on our turf, and they’re stuck wasting their money defending their weak incumbents and stitching together their messy primaries.”
Added in February was CO-05, for example, which has never been held by a Democrat. And a dozen are rated “safe Republican” by the Cook Political Report.
Democratic strategists say it is not as simple as looking at past performance.
They say their data show that voters are ready for change and their candidates have overperformed Harris’ 2024 margin by 17 points in congressional special elections.
And it is showing up in midterm polling. A December poll in MI-04 showed that challenger Sean McCann had drawn level with Republican incumbent …
Confidence requires clarity.
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of Washington Secrets. Today we have a dive into the fundraising numbers that show that Democrats’ target list of midterm districts is aspirational, to put it politely, or a “political hallucination,” if you are less polite, plus how Donald Trump is uniting British politicians…
Democrats keep expanding their battleground map of midterm target seats but do they really have any chance in some of the districts they claim they can win?
Of the 44 districts listed by the Democratic Congressional Campaign (DCCC) as targets, at least 11 of those seats look unwinnable, with Republican incumbents far outraising their challengers in seats won comfortably last time around, according to a Secrets analysis of fundraising.
Democrats insist the country is ready for change and they have the calibre of candidates needed.
“Democrats are on offense, and our map reflects the fact that everyday Americans are tired of Republicans’ broken promises and ready for change in Congress,” said Suzan DelBene, chair of the DCCC last month as the campaign group added five seats to the list.
To assess election prospects, Secrets examined the 44 districts listed by the DCCC as targets.
They include some where Democrats would have to overturn 15-point deficits, and where Republican candidates are outraising challengers 10-fold in some cases. It suggests they are far from close to putting together campaigns that can win.
Republicans ridiculed the target map.
“House Democrats are trying to invade ruby red Republican territory with embarrassing recruitment failures, empty bank accounts, and political hallucination,” said Mike Marinella, spokesman for the National Republican Congressional Committee.
“They can continue fantasizing about ‘expanding’ the map all they want, but they’re operating on our turf, and they’re stuck wasting their money defending their weak incumbents and stitching together their messy primaries.”
Added in February was CO-05, for example, which has never been held by a Democrat. And a dozen are rated “safe Republican” by the Cook Political Report.
Democratic strategists say it is not as simple as looking at past performance.
They say their data show that voters are ready for change and their candidates have overperformed Harris’ 2024 margin by 17 points in congressional special elections.
And it is showing up in midterm polling. A December poll in MI-04 showed that challenger Sean McCann had drawn level with Republican incumbent …
The numbers that Republicans say show Democratic midterm targets are a ‘political hallucination’
Confidence requires clarity.
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of Washington Secrets. Today we have a dive into the fundraising numbers that show that Democrats’ target list of midterm districts is aspirational, to put it politely, or a “political hallucination,” if you are less polite, plus how Donald Trump is uniting British politicians…
Democrats keep expanding their battleground map of midterm target seats but do they really have any chance in some of the districts they claim they can win?
Of the 44 districts listed by the Democratic Congressional Campaign (DCCC) as targets, at least 11 of those seats look unwinnable, with Republican incumbents far outraising their challengers in seats won comfortably last time around, according to a Secrets analysis of fundraising.
Democrats insist the country is ready for change and they have the calibre of candidates needed.
“Democrats are on offense, and our map reflects the fact that everyday Americans are tired of Republicans’ broken promises and ready for change in Congress,” said Suzan DelBene, chair of the DCCC last month as the campaign group added five seats to the list.
To assess election prospects, Secrets examined the 44 districts listed by the DCCC as targets.
They include some where Democrats would have to overturn 15-point deficits, and where Republican candidates are outraising challengers 10-fold in some cases. It suggests they are far from close to putting together campaigns that can win.
Republicans ridiculed the target map.
“House Democrats are trying to invade ruby red Republican territory with embarrassing recruitment failures, empty bank accounts, and political hallucination,” said Mike Marinella, spokesman for the National Republican Congressional Committee.
“They can continue fantasizing about ‘expanding’ the map all they want, but they’re operating on our turf, and they’re stuck wasting their money defending their weak incumbents and stitching together their messy primaries.”
Added in February was CO-05, for example, which has never been held by a Democrat. And a dozen are rated “safe Republican” by the Cook Political Report.
Democratic strategists say it is not as simple as looking at past performance.
They say their data show that voters are ready for change and their candidates have overperformed Harris’ 2024 margin by 17 points in congressional special elections.
And it is showing up in midterm polling. A December poll in MI-04 showed that challenger Sean McCann had drawn level with Republican incumbent …
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